The Broncos have been making lots of noise this offseason about their need to compete for third-year quarterback Drew Lock, and so they did so on the eve of the draft on Wednesday, buying Teddy Bridgewater from the Panthers for a sixth-round choose. Does this transfer make a giant distinction to the Broncos’ outlook from a unbelievable standpoint?
Probably not. Bridgewater might be higher than Lock at this level of their careers, and it would not be an enormous shock if Bridgewater ended up beginning for the Broncos in Week 1. He is been the highest QB since Lock entered the NFL in 2019, because the numbers present fairly clearly:
- Bridgewater: 11th of September, 68.8%, 7.4 Y / A, 3.5% TD charge, 1.9% INT charge, 94.1 passer score
- Lock: 8-10, 59.1%, 6.6 Y / A, 3.9% TD charge, 3.0% INT charge, 79.1 passer score
Bridgewater has been roughly a median NFL QB over the previous two seasons, combining a excessive completion proportion with a knack for taking good care of the ball, whereas Lock struggled with turnovers and effectivity. total, merely lacking too many passes so far. And on condition that this Broncos offense has no scarcity of playmakers, we ought to be hoping that Bridgewater begins QB for the sake of Jerry Jeudy, Courtland Sutton and Noah Fant, proper?
I’m much less positive of that. Bridgewater offers the Broncos the next flooring on the QB place, making certain a continuing presence if he begins up or Lock weakens. And it isn’t prefer it was unhealthy information for Panthers passers final season; DJ Moore, Robby Anderson and Curtis Samuel all made the highest 25 among the many WRs in Fantasy factors, regardless of solely scoring 10 TDs between them.
However that is the issue, you see. Bridgewater is a stable QB, however his profession landing charge is simply 3.4%, a very low quantity. There could also be unhealthy luck or unhealthy supporting roles responsible – he had a 4.6% charge in 5 begins for the Saints in 2019 – however that is most likely a method of play. Bridgewater has all the time been. a reasonably conservative QB which helps him keep away from errors but additionally limits the variety of massive performs he hits.
Bridgewater’s goal common depth was solely 7.1 meters downstream in 2020, and he threw greater than 20 yards on the sphere on simply 11.2% of his makes an attempt, inserting twenty fifth total within the league, regardless of enjoying with a number of viable targets downstream. You need to take dangers to attain. “No danger, no cookie,” as Bruce Arians places it. Though in Bridgewater’s case, it isn’t like good issues occurred when he got here down the pitch – PFF ranked him twenty seventh on deep passes, and he solely had three touchdowns towards 4 interceptions on such makes an attempt.
One factor you possibly can not less than say about Lock is that he actually would not hesitate to tug the set off. He was second within the league in deep cross try charge, regardless of seven interceptions for simply three touchdowns. At Wednesday’s episode of the Fantasy Soccer right this moment PodcastI in contrast him to a much less proficient Jameis Winston, who… is not significantly flattering, I do know.
However this model of play brings lots of benefits. We noticed him with Winston in Tampa, whilst he threw tons of interceptions. And with the type of expertise the Broncos have in ability positions, having a QB who’s keen to take these dangers is what I desire to see – not less than to start out the season.
The Broncos ought to give Lock an opportunity to show he is improved, and if he is nonetheless making unhealthy errors, then go forward and commerce Bridgewater. And I believe that is what they’re going to do – Lock will begin after a contest, however he gained There is not a lot room for error on a staff that expects to take a step ahead in assault.
The excellent news is that it undoubtedly makes the Broncos’ offense extra dependable. Both Lock is enjoying higher and Sutton, Jeudy, Fant and Melvin Gordon reap the rewards, or Bridgewater takes over and gives not less than a agency hand on the wheel. This isn’t a craft that strikes the needle for Fantasy, but it surely ought to make you extra assured that the needle won’t sway. an excessive amount of madly.
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